{"id":20835,"date":"2015-01-10T08:21:12","date_gmt":"2015-01-10T08:21:12","guid":{"rendered":""},"modified":"2015-01-10T08:21:12","modified_gmt":"2015-01-10T08:21:12","slug":"2015-kinh-te-viet-nam-on-dinh-muc-tieu-tang-truong-kha-thi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dntieubieuna.vn\/?p=20835","title":{"rendered":"2015: Kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh, m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kh\u1ea3 thi"},"content":{"rendered":"

Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n v\u00e0 tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c b\u1edfi gi\u00e1 USD t\u0103ng; ni\u1ec1m tin c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao; m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau 6-6,2% t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP n\u0103m 2015 c\u1ee7a Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 l\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 thi- nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u1ee7a Qu\u1ef9 \u0110\u1ea7u t\u01b0 Vina Capital.

<\/A>

<\/FONT><\/P>

\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u1ee7a Qu\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 Vina Capital \u0111\u01b0a ra trong b\u1ea3n ph\u00e2n t\u00edch v\u1ec1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u bao g\u1ed3m nh\u1eefng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam trong n\u0103m 2015.<\/FONT><\/P>

R\u1ee7i ro  th\u1ea5p<\/FONT><\/STRONG><\/P>

Vina Capital cho r\u1eb1ng t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 vay v\u1ed1n b\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ed3ng USD trong n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1eabn trong s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t c\u1ee7a Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a v\u01b0\u1ee3t qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 cho ph\u00e9p trong th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i, v\u00ec v\u1eady Vi\u1ec7t Nam kh\u00f4ng d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng b\u1ecb g\u1eb7p r\u1ee7i ro.<\/FONT><\/P>

Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n v\u00e0 tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c b\u1edfi gi\u00e1 USD t\u0103ng. Ni\u1ec1m tin c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao. Cam k\u1ebft v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n c\u1ee7a v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 FDI c\u0169ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng so v\u1edbi n\u0103m 2014; d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c qu\u1ef9 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i n\u0103m 2014 l\u00e0 250 tri\u1ec7u USD so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 300 tri\u1ec7u USD n\u0103m 2013.<\/FONT><\/P>

V\u1ec1 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a vi\u1ec7c gi\u00e1 USD t\u0103ng, Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e3 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eefng \u00e1p l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ed3ng (VND) trong n\u0103m 2015 do gi\u00e1 USD t\u0103ng nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn \u0111\u1eb7t ch\u1ec9 ti\u00eau bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 2% nh\u1edd Vi\u1ec7t Nam xu\u1ea5t si\u00eau (th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 c\u00e1n c\u00e2n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0 thanh to\u00e1n c\u00f9ng t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i cao k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c).<\/FONT><\/P>

Kh\u00e1c v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia ch\u00e2u \u00c1 kh\u00e1c (nh\u01b0 Indonesia v\u00e0 \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 th\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eefng ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tho\u00e1i v\u1ed1n nhanh ch\u00f3ng v\u00e0 t\u1ea1o s\u1ee9c \u00e9p l\u00ean c\u00e1n c\u00e2n thanh to\u00e1n), VND th\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ecbu t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng b\u1edfi c\u00e1c nh\u00e2n t\u1ed1 trong n\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u01b0 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t th\u1ea5p, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u00e0 b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng, nh\u1edd \u0111\u00f3 tr\u1ee3 gi\u00fap s\u1ef1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng n\u1ed9i t\u1ec7. V\u00ec v\u1eady, Vi\u1ec7t Nam kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft ph\u1ea3i n\u00e2ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 VND do kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u nh\u1eefng ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 nh\u01b0 v\u1eady.<\/FONT><\/P>

D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i v\u1eabn t\u0103ng
<\/FONT><\/P><\/STRONG>

Theo Vina Capital, gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3m \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ebfn ngu\u1ed3n thu ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam. Tuy nhi\u00ean, s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m trong ngu\u1ed3n thu ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00f9 l\u1ea1i b\u1eb1ng doanh thu t\u1eeb c\u00e1c ng\u00e0nh kinh t\u1ebf ngo\u00e0i d\u1ea7u, v\u1ed1n \u0111ang kinh doanh t\u1ed1t nh\u1edd gi\u1ea3m chi ph\u00ed s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t. <\/FONT><\/P>

Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Vi\u1ec7t Nam g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 n\u00e2ng thu\u1ebf nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u x\u0103ng nh\u1eb1m c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch. M\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u1ea7n l\u01b0u \u00fd l\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p cho ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ch\u1ec9 chi\u1ebfm 10% trong n\u0103m nay so v\u1edbi h\u01a1n 25% trong n\u0103m 2014. M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 Vi\u1ec7t Nam xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 v\u00e0 nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u c\u00e1c s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m tinh luy\u1ec7n t\u1eeb d\u1ea7u nh\u01b0ng gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a 2 l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y kh\u00e1 c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng. V\u00ec v\u1eady, nh\u1eefng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1eeb gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Vi\u1ec7t Nam l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng nhi\u1ec1u v\u00e0 s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng suy gi\u1ea3m d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i, hi\u1ec7n kho\u1ea3ng 38 t\u1ef7 USD, m\u1ed9t m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng so v\u1edbi 35 t\u1ef7 USD t\u1eeb gi\u1eefa n\u0103m 2014.<\/FONT><\/P>

L\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m nh\u1edd gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3m. Gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u v\u00e0 kh\u00ed \u0111\u1ed1t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c ng\u00e0nh kinh t\u1ebf ch\u00ednh nh\u01b0 giao th\u00f4ng v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i, s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t, c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p, \u0111i\u1ec7n n\u0103ng v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng ti\u00eau th\u1ee5. T\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t th\u1ea5p trong n\u0103m 2014 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd k\u00e9o d\u00e0i sang n\u0103m 2015 do gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u1ea5p.<\/FONT><\/P>

V\u1edbi ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u1edf m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh th\u1ea5p, NHNN c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c duy tr\u00ec ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch k\u00edch th\u00edch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 v\u00e0 c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m th\u00eam l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, qua \u0111\u00f3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n nh\u1eb1m t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn. Trong t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh hi\u1ec7n nay, NHNN c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng theo \u0111u\u1ed5i ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i cho c\u1ea3 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu. D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o trong n\u0103m 2015 n\u1ebfu gi\u00e1 x\u0103ng gi\u1ea3m 10% s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng CPI gi\u1ea3m 0,55%, c\u00f2n GDP t\u0103ng 0,51%.<\/FONT><\/P>

V\u1ec1 doanh thu b\u00e1n l\u1ebb, m\u1ed9t ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh nhu c\u1ea7u ti\u00eau th\u1ee5, s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y do gi\u00e1 x\u0103ng gi\u1ea3m s\u1ebd t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c gi\u1ea3m thu\u1ebf, qua \u0111\u00f3 gia t\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh kh\u1ea3 d\u1ee5ng c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng trong vi\u1ec7c chi ti\u00eau h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5.<\/FONT><\/P>

VinaCapital cho r\u1eb1ng m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau 6-6,2% t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP n\u0103m 2015 c\u1ee7a Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 l\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 thi. B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh \u0111\u00f3, v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0 nhu c\u1ea7u ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 t\u0103ng, c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p s\u1ebd c\u00f3 thu nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea3 quan h\u01a1n, qua \u0111\u00f3 n\u00e2ng gi\u00e1 c\u1ed5 phi\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n.
<\/FONT>
                                                                             <\/FONT>Theo Anh Minh
                                                                  Chinhphu.vn (ng\u00e0y 9\/1\/2015)
<\/FONT><\/P><\/STRONG><\/EM>


<\/FONT> <\/P><\/SPAN><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n v\u00e0 tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c b\u1edfi gi\u00e1 USD t\u0103ng; ni\u1ec1m tin c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao; m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau 6-6,2% t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP n\u0103m 2015 c\u1ee7a Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 l\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 thi- nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u1ee7a Qu\u1ef9 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":20829,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[63],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dntieubieuna.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20835"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dntieubieuna.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dntieubieuna.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dntieubieuna.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dntieubieuna.vn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=20835"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/dntieubieuna.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20835\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dntieubieuna.vn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/20829"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dntieubieuna.vn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=20835"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dntieubieuna.vn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=20835"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dntieubieuna.vn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=20835"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}